European Aerospace & Defence Capital Market Insights
Following the successful launch of the Aerospace & Defence Monitor, we are pleased to present the H1 2026 edition. This time we took a particular look at the start-up ecosystem, as the industry is undergoing a rapid competitive reset.
Established structures are being challenged as capital, innovation, and strategic relevance increasingly shift towards new players, new technologies and new forms of collaboration.
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European Aerospace & Defence sector continues to benefit from structurally embedded government demand, accelerated rearmament programmes and the growing strategic relevance of space.
At the same time, the sector is entering a more selective phase of capital allocation.
Investors are no longer rewarding Aerospace & Defence exposure broadly, but increasingly focus on companies that combine demand visibility with execution strength, profitable delivery and resilient cash flow generation.
The traditional R&D monopoly of Europe's primes is eroding.
While hardware capabilities remain anchored with incumbent industrial players, start-ups are gaining relevance in software-defined domains such as AI, autonomy, mission software and Space technologies.
Access to start-up-led innovation is becoming a strategic differentiator as the sector moves towards faster capability development and shorter innovation cycles.
Capital markets continue to reflect the sector’s long-term demand visibility, but investor behaviour has become more selective.
Defence and Aerospace indices remain supported by Europe’s strategic autonomy agenda, geopolitical uncertainty and the increasing role of Space as critical infrastructure.
Recent earnings reactions show that strong backlogs alone are no longer sufficient, with markets increasingly focused on delivery performance, profitability and cash conversion.
Aerospace & Defence cost of capital continued to remain below the market portfolio, with the increase primarily linked to the risk-free rate growth.